What You Should Do When An NFL Expert Picks Against The Spread

By Jason Gibson


Football seasons is a great time of year for watching an exciting sport and reconnecting with old friends. For many people, this is also a time of judicious gambling. If this sounds familiar, you probably want to know what you should do when an NFL expert picks against the spread.

The very first thing that you should do is to assess the details of the situations. Try to find out whether or not this individual had any special motives by searching around for clues that might explain this decision. You might thing that the expert has special insider info. More likely, however, there are clues all around you that are just waiting to be noticed.

Take a look at sports blogs to see whether or not any of the involved players have looming injuries. If a key player has been nursing a sore shoulder or knee, this could weaken his overall team and the playing strategy. Sometimes pending injuries are not as widely reported as injuries that have already occurred, which means that you may have to do a little digging around.

Surprisingly enough, even activities and events that players have going on in their personal lives can impact their games. Find out if any players are facing legal charges or separating from their spouses. The winning team will usually be comprised of players that have few outside distractions.

Take a look at the stats for match-ups from the past that are fairly similar and see if you can spot any factors that have potentially changed. As an example, it may be a team's first time playing a championship game away from home. There could be weather conditions that might impede personal performances. Changes like these might seem small, but they really can have a considerable impact.

Make a list of sources that you can rely on in instances like these in order to prove or disprove the theories that have been put forth. You have to find out what others are saying in order to see if the latest claims bear any weight on your own future betting decisions. The details that you find are only relevant, however, when they are coming from a consistently trustworthy source of sports information, which can be incredibly difficult to locate.

It is vital to remember that gambling is a lot like stock investing and this is especially true when it comes to analyzing and valuating your sources. Some blog writers and sports broadcasters will simply go with the crowd, even if they do not believe in the information or opinions that are being reported. This is commonly referred to as following the herd. The best info sources are bold, courageous and willing to stand on their own, even if this means breaking away from the proverbial pack.

Even experts can make mistakes and this is important to bear in mind. Some sports fans think that even modest amounts of research can provide valuable information. There are people who frequently make accurate predictions, but they are not certain to predict the right outcome every time. Ultimately, you have to take advantage of all the available information to make predictions and decisions on your own.




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